内容

目次

An informal treatment of foundations; a formal treatment of foundations;assessment of utilities for consequences; quantification of judgements;analysis of decision trees; random variables; continuous lotteries andexpectations; special univariate distributions; conditional probability andBayes' theorem; Bernoulli process; terminal analysis - opportunity loss andthe value of perfect information; paired random variables; preposterioranalysis - the value of sample information; Poisson process; normal processwith known variance; normal process with unknown variance; large sampletheory; statistical analysis in normal form; classical methods; multivariaterandom variables; the multivariate normal distribution; choosing the best ofseveral processes; allowance for uncertain bias; stratification; theportfolio problem; normal linear regression with known variance. Appendices:the terminology of sets; elements of matrix theory; properties of utilityfunctions for monetary consequences; tables.