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Applications of Computer Aided Time Series Modeling Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1997(Lecture Notes in Statistics V

Aoki, Masanao, Havenner, Arthur M.  編
在庫状況 海外在庫有り  お届け予定日 1ヶ月  数量 冊 
価格 \30,505(税込)         

発行年月 1996年11月
出版社/提供元
出版国 アメリカ合衆国
言語 英語
媒体 冊子
装丁 paper
ページ数/巻数 VII, 335 p. 220 illus.
ジャンル 洋書/理工学/数学/統計
ISBN 9780387947518
商品コード 0209700995
本の性格 学術書
書評掲載誌 Journal of Economic Literature
商品URL
参照
https://kw.maruzen.co.jp/ims/itemDetail.html?itmCd=0209700995

内容

This book consists of three parts: Part One is composed of two introductory chapters. The first chapter provides an instrumental varible interpretation of the state space time series algorithm originally proposed by Aoki (1983), and gives an introductory account for incorporating exogenous signals in state space models. The second chapter, by Havenner, gives practical guidance in apply­ ing this algorithm by one of the most experienced practitioners of the method. Havenner begins by summarizing six reasons state space methods are advanta­ geous, and then walks the reader through construction and evaluation of a state space model for four monthly macroeconomic series: industrial production in­ dex, consumer price index, six month commercial paper rate, and money stock (Ml). To single out one of the several important insights in modeling that he shares with the reader, he discusses in Section 2ii the effects of sampling er­ rors and model misspecification on successful modeling efforts. He argues that model misspecification is an important amplifier of the effects of sampling error that may cause symplectic matrices to have complex unit roots, a theoretical impossibility. Correct model specifications increase efficiency of estimators and often eliminate this finite sample problem. This is an important insight into the positive realness of covariance matrices; positivity has been emphasized by system engineers to the exclusion of other methods of reducing sampling error and alleviating what is simply a finite sample problem. The second and third parts collect papers that describe specific applications.

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