内容

目次

Part 1 Decision analysis. Part 2 Interpretation of information:contrasting rational and psychological principles of choice;sign-posting - the selective revelation of product information;normative validity of graphical aids for estimation studies. Part 3Valuation: valuing billions of dollars; options; measuring risk andreturn for portfolios; the upside and downside; does society mismanagerisk; global decisions for the very long term - intergenerational andinternational discounting. Part 4 Applications: decision analysis inhealth and medicine - two decades of progress and challenges;optimizing the prenatal detection of Down's syndrome - a decisionanalytic economic policy analysis; expected values of information andco-operation for abating global climate change.