著者紹介

内容

目次

Foreword; Introduction; BACKGROUND; Long-term astrophysical processes;Evolution theory and the future of humanity; Millenial tendencies inresponses to apocalyptic threats; Cognitive biases potentially affectingjudgememnt of global risks; Observation selection effects: the Fermi paradox,the Doomsday argument and the simulation argument; Systems-based riskanalysis; Catastrophes and insurance; Public policy toward catastrophe; RISKSFROM NATURE; Supervolcanism and other geophysical processes of catastrophicimport; Hazards from comets and asteroids; Influence of supernovae, gamma-raybursts, solar flares, and cosmic rays on the terrestrial environment; RISKSFROM UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES; Climate change and global risk; Plagues andpandemics: past, present, and future; Artificial Intelligence as a positiveand negative factor in global risk; Big troubles, imagined and real;Catastrophe, social collapse, and and human extinction; The continuing threatof nuclear war; Catastrophic nuclear terrorism: a preventable peril;Biotechnology and biosecurity; Nanotechnology as global catastrophic risk;The totalitarian threat; Acknowledgements; Index; Author's Biographies