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Contents: Introduction PART I: MONETARY FUNDAMENTALS AND EXCHANGE RATEFORECASTING 1. 'Exchange Rate Behaviour: Are Fundamentals Important?'Economic Journal, 109 (459), 1999, F673- F691 2. 'The Monetary Model of theExchange Rate: Long-Run Relationships, Short-Run Dynamics and How to Beat aRandom Walk', with M.P. Taylor, Journal of International Money and Finance,13 (3), 1994, 276-290 3. 'On Fundamentals and Exchange Rates: A CasselianPerspective', with I.W. Marsh, Review of Economics and Statistics, 79 (4),1997, 655-644 4. 'Monetary-based Models of the Exchange Rate: A PanelPerspective', with S. Husted, Journal of International Financial Markets,Institutions and Money, 8 (1), 1998, 1-19 5. 'Modeling the ECU Against theU.S. Dollar: A Structural Monetary Interpretation', with L. La Cour, Journalof Business Economics and Statistics, 18 (4), 2000, 436-450 6. 'CurrencySpillovers and Tri-polarity: A Simultaneous Model of the US Dollar, GermanMark and Japanese Yen', with I.W. Marsh, Journal of International Money andFinance, 23 (1), 2004, 99-111 7. 'Markov Switching Regimes in a MonetaryExchange Rate Model', with M. Frommel and L. Menkhoff, Economic Modelling, 22(3), 2005, 485-502 PART II: EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATES: PURCHASING POWERPARITY REAL AND THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE 8. 'Long Run Purchasing Power Parity:Is it for Real?', The Review of Economics and Statistics, 75(4), 1993,690-695 9. 'Panel Unit Root Tests and Real Exchange Rates', EconomicsLetters, 50 (1), 1996, 7-11 10. 'International Parity Relationships Betweenthe USA and Japan', with K. Juselius, Japan and the World Economy, 16 (1),2004, 17-34 11. 'Filtering the BEER: A Permanent and TransitoryDecomposition', with P.B. Clark, Global Finance Journal, 15 (1), 2004, 29-5612. 'The Real Exchange Rate and the Balassa-Samuel Effect: The Role of theDistributional Sector', with L.A. Ricci, Pacific Economic Review, 10 (1)2005, 29-48 13. 'Real Exchange Rates, Imperfect Substitutability, andImperfect Competition', with L.A. Ricci, Journal of Macroeconomics, 29 (4)2007, 639-982 PART III: EXPECTATIONS FORMATION, NEWS AND RISK 14. 'GBPM3Surprises and Asset Prices', with T.S. Torrance, Economica, 54 (216), 1987,505-515 15. 'Expectations Formation and Risk in Four Foreign ExchangeMarkets' with T.S. Torrance, Oxford Economic Papers, 42 (3), 1990, 544-56116. 'Combining Exchange Rate Forecasts: What is the Optimal ConsensusMeasure?' with I.W. Marsh, Journal of Forecasting, 13, 1994, 313- 332 17.'Currency Forecasters are Heterogeneous: Confirmation and Consequences', withI.W. Marsh, Journal of International Money and Finance, 15 (5) 1996, 665-68518. 'Models of Exchange Rate Expectations: How Much Heterogeneity?', with A.Benassy- Quere and S. Larribeau, Journal of International Financial Markets,Institutions and Money, 13 (2) 2003, 113-136 PART IV: THE ECONOMICS OF FIXEDEXCHANGE RATES AND CREDIBILITY ISSUES 19. 'On the Mean Reverting Propertiesof Target Zone Exchange Rates: Some Evidence from the ERM', with M. Anthony,European Economic Review, 42 (8) 1998, 1493-1523 20. 'Crash! ExpectationalAspects of the Departures of the United Kingdom and United States from theInter-War Gold Standard', with C.P. Hallwood and I.A. Walsh, Explorations inEconomic History, 34 (2) 1997, 174-194 21. 'Realignment Expectations and theUS Dollar, 1890-1897: Was There a 'Peso' Problem?' with C.P. Hallwood,Journal of Monetary Economics, 46 (3) 2000, 605-620 22. 'Interest RateInteractions in the Classical Gold Standard, 1880-1914: Was There AnyMonetary Independence?', with M.D. Bordo, Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(2) 2005, 307-327