目次

PREFACE 1 Crabs and Criminals 2 It Isn't Fair 3. While the City Burns 4. Clean Streets 5. A Bayesian Take on Colorectal Screening, Baseball, Fund Managers, and a Murder 6. What Are the Odds of That? 7 It's Normal Not to Be Normal 8. Boom and Bust 9. Viral Outbreaks and Blood Clots 10. Red Tides and What Ever Happened to the Red Squirrel? 11. Spatial Patterns: The Cat's Tail and Spreading Slime 12. The Coil of Life Afterthoughts on Modeling Appendix A: The Normal Density Appendix B: Poisson Events Appendix C: Nonlinear Equations and Oscillations Appendix D: Conditional Expectation